HomeMy WebLinkAboutCOLUMBUS SQUARE CORRESPONDENCECOLUMBUS SQUARE CORRESPONDENCE
No. Name Address/Affiliation Date
1 Michael Vo
Gary Pomeroy Columbus Square Board Members N/A
2 Tab Johnson Chairperson, Coventry Court Ad Hoc Committee 06-29-2010
3 Albert Hernandez "The Economics of Coventry Court" (Orig. & Rev. 2) 07-2010
4 Eric Higuchi Elected Board Member, Camden Place HOA;
Appointed Director-At-Large, Columbus Square HOA 07-02-2010
5 Michael Vo
Gary Pomeroy Columbus Square Board Members N/A
6 Jack and Christine Chen Columbus Square Resident 07-07-2010
From: Darlene Ferguson [mailto:dferguson@meritpm.com]
Sent: Thursday, July 01, 2010 10:21 AM
To: CITY COUNCIL
Cc: g.pomeroy@cox.net; Mvo@owengroup.com; Jon Cernok
Subject: C.U.P 09-024.
Please see the attached letter from Columbus Square board members regarding the July 7th meeting to discuss C.U.P
09-024.
Darlene Ferguson
Associate Community Mgr.
MERIT Property Management, Inc.
I Polaris Way, Suite 100
Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
949-448-6000 (phone)
949-448-5021 (fax)
dferguson(c~meritpm.com
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[rev1.00_03202007]
UvMBUS
Honorai l~: Mayor and City Council Member,,
The Board of Directors of the Columbus Square Community Association consists of three
developer members and two resident members. In order to not influence resident issues,
opinions and actions regarding the proposed conversion of Coventry Court from fee
simple to for rent apartments the developer members abstain from voting. Anew board
was constituted at the annual meeting of our association April 28, 2010. This letter is
signed by the two new resident board members Michael Vo and Gary Pomeroy.
A special meeting of the board was held on May 25, 2010 to consider the formation of an
Ad Hoc Committee for Coventry Court to meet with Lennar Homes and the City
regarding the proposed conversion from fee to rental. The Committee was charged with
preparing a charter and submitting it to the Board for approval. That approval was given
in mid-June. The first meeting with Lennar is scheduled for Thursday July 1, 2010
Therefore, the Board of Directors requests that the special meeting slated for July 7, 2010
be continued to allow time far our committee to meet with Lennar Homes and their
representatives to discuss the Association issues with Lennar's proposed revisions to
City staff's proposed conditions of approval for C.U.P 09-024.
With the above in mind we respectfully request a continu~gce for 60 days or a date the Council
feels would be fair to both parties. ~
Respectfully:
~r.ZiG (r0
Michael Vo Gary Pom
E3oard Member Board Me
Managed by
Merit Property Management, Inc.
1 Polaris Way, Suite 100, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656, 800-428-5588, 949-448-6000, f 949-448-6400
COLUMBUS SQUARE
COMMUIITITY ASSOCIATION
AD HOC COVENTRY COURT COMMITTEE
Honorable Mayor and City Council Members,
The Ad Hoc Committee for Coventry Court requests that the special meeting slated for
July 7, 2010 be continued to allow time for our committee to meet with Lennar Homes
and their representarives to discuss the proposed conditions of approval for C,U.P 09-
024.
A special HOA board meeting was held to form our committee and we obtained approval of our
charter from the board after our first meeting in early June of this year. We have requested and
have set our first meeting with Lennar far Thursday July ls` and believe it will take more than one
meeting to fully discuss and understand the issues with Coventry Court.
Please understand that the S Committee members have full time jobs and family commitments
that make it difficult to work on this issue as if it is our full time job. We are dedicated to
working on this matter with diligence but feel that to give this process its due we will need
additional time.
With the above in mind we respectfully request a continuance for 60 days or a date the Council
feels would be fair to both parties.
Respectful
~` .
f'
Tab Johnson f
Chairperson Coventry Court Committee
From: Albert Hernandez [
Sent: Friday, July 02, 2010 7:21 AM
To: CITY COUNCIL
Cc: Kapadia, Reina
Subject: The Economics Of Coventry Court
Dear Tustin City Council Members,
I have a revised version of the report that was sent earlier in the week. This version contains the addition of a
column to Table 3 which estimates the gross income based on a 20% expense rate. This results in $54.49M of
gross income over the project life.
Thank you,
Albert
On 7/1/10 1:16 AM, Albert Hernandez wrote:
Dear Tustin City Council Members,
In preparing for the meeting next Tuesday, I have put together my analysis of some of the economic and social
issues related to the Coventry change of tenure. Please review the attachment and provide me any thoughts you
care to share.
Thanks,
Albert Hernandez
Tustin, CA 92782
i
THE ECONOMICS OF COVENTRY COURT
Making a windfall by breaking a promises
Albert Hernandez
;...~?* f
July zoio
Economics of Coventry Court Revision z
THE ECONOMICS OF COVENTRY
COURT
Making a windfall by breaking a promise
Albert Hernandez
July zoio
The Coventry Gold Mine
We all know that economics is the driving force behind the application that Lennar has
submitted to City of Tustin to convert Coventry Court from ownership tenure to rental
tenure. So I decided to do sharpen my pencil and determine how big the prize would be if
Lennar would actually be able to compel the City Council to approve their application for
change of tenure. My figures are based on facts and figures gathered either from Tustin City
documents, Federal and State government agency documents, or were provided by Lennar
or Meta Housing Corporation. What I discovered is that Coventry is an inflation protected
gold mine that will return money year after year if it converted to a rental project. Approv-
ing this application will allow Lennar to create $68M in revenue from what they agreed they
would sell for $i8M. It is not surprising that Lennar is hiring consultants and making con-
cessions to try to get their application approved. If the application is approved, the list of
injured will include the residents of Coventry, the homeowners in the surrounding commu-
nityand the tax base of the City of Tustin.
THE APPROACH
The economic analysis approach is simple and is based on the examination of cash
flows resulting from the two cases.
r. Case r consists of the examination of cash flows that would be generated by selling
the iS3 affordable homes to qualified buyers.
i. Case z provides the examination of cash flows that would result from the rental of
the same iq3 units.
Economics of Coventry Court Revision z z
COVENTRY FOR SALE CASF,
In both cases the remaining 8~ market rate units of Coventry Court are not consid-
ered in the analysis as Lennar indicates these units are not the drivers for the conversion.
Incase z, using published information that was provided when Coventry was a for
sale project, the amount of gross revenue that would be generated from the sale of 153
homes is calculated.
Appendix "A' shows the pricing as well as number of homes in for each of the four
Coventry plans. To determine the gross sales value for the i53 homes, we multiply the price
of each unit by the number of units in that category. Several of the plans have two prices for
different tiers, for these cases the average price of both tiers is used.
Table r shows the amount of gross revenue that would be generated by selling Coven-
tryunits as originally planned. This figure is gross revenue which does not account for such
items as such as discounts or incentives. So in actual practice the amount realized would be
less then the i8.8M that is shown here.
"For Sale" Case Cash Flow Generated
Plan 1 "Very Low" Homes
Plan 1 "Low" Homes
Plan 2 "Low" Homes 92,500 38
Plan 2 "Moderate" Homes 239,800
Plan 3 "Moderate" Homes 239,800
Plan 4 "Moderate" Homes 239,800
Totals
2
30
3
153
Table r
3,51
479,
7,194,
71
Economics of Coventry Court Revision 2 3
Plan 1 "Moderate" Homes 199,800 21 4,195,800
COVENTRY FOR RENT CASE
The second case we will examine is the case of converting Coventry Court to a rental
project. In this case, Lennar's partner Meta Housing Corporation will rent and manage
Coventry Court units which will produce a stream of cash flow rental payments over a life-
time of 45 years. The amount of rent for each unit is based on the Area Median Income 1
(AMI) for the County of Orange, which, incidentally, is among the highest AMIs in the U.S.
Based on information from Meta Corporation, rents to be charge for Coventy units
are based on both So%AMI and 6o%AMI as well as the number of occupants planned for
a unit. An economic advantage to Meta Housing Corporation, because the rents are indexed
to AMI, is that rents will increase as incomes in Orange County increase. A further advan-
tage is that rents go up but don't go down. In the case of a decrease in AMI, rents are to re-
main "stable" as opposed to adjusting downward2.
Indexing rents to AMI provides an effective device to keep up with the pace of infla-
tion. In fact, given how AMI has increased over the last five decades in Orange County,
there is a good chance that the AMI indexed rents will increase faster than inflation3.
Table 3 shows the inflation adjusted present value, based on it cash flow, for each
class of unit. The present value (PV) for each class of unit is calculated in the standard way a
stream of payments is computed for an annuity, using a discount rate of S% and assuming
Orange County AMI will grow at an average rate of 4%. The net discount rate of r% is used
in the calculation. The life of the project is assumed to be 4S years. We also assume occu-
pancy at 95% although it is not unusual for below market rentals, especially for desirable
luxury apartments, to have occupancy greater than 97%. In addition, a figure of ao% is used
to compensate for management expenses. The total value of the cash generated from rent-
ing Coventry Court as measured in zoio dollars is estimated at $68.iM. Assuming a ao%
allocation for expenses, which is over $376,ooo/year in expenses, gross income for the pro-
I This statistic is calculated by the US. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD).
z Based on information provided by Meta Housing Corporation in a-mail.
3 Besides having among the highest AMI in the U.S., the Orange CountyAMI also grows at a rate that is often higher the
Consumer Price Index (CPI). Over the last go years the average compounded AMI for Orange County has grown at S.zs%
while CPI has increased at a rate of 4.0~%; over the last 3o years OC compounded AMI is 4.3% and the CPI has increased
at a rate of 3.68%. In either case, since rents will be tied to the AMI they will adjust to compensate for inflation. This is in
an important point, since when we calculate the present value for the stream of rent payments a net discount rate is used
to compensate for inflation. Having the ability to raise rents will reduce the discount rate and thereby increase the present
value of the stream of rents.
Economics of Coventry Court Revision z 4
ject would be $54.4M. That is a very substantial increase of over $i8.6M Lennar would re-
ceive by keeping Coventry as a "for sale" project.
Another way to look it at is that, per year, Coventry will generate nearly $zM in gross
rental revenue just from the affordable units. In less than ten years the amount of revenue
would match what Lennar would generate from selling the Coventry homes. The payback
period for this project will be within the first decade of the project.
"For Rent" Case Cash Flow Generated over project life
Plan 1 "Very Low" 871 36 359,694 12,948,984 10,359,187
Homes
Plan 1 "Low" 871 23 359,694 8,272,962 6,618,370
Homes
Plan 1 "Moderate" 1,045 21 431,551 9,062,571 7,250,057
Homes
Plan 2 "Low" 1,255 38 518,274 19,694,412 15,755,530
Homes
Plan 2 "Moderate" 1,255 2 518,274 1,036,548 829,238
Homes
Plan 3 "Moderate" 1,255 30 518,274 15,548,220 12,438,576
Homes
Plan 4 "Moderate" 1,255 3 518,274 1,554,822 1,243,858
Homes
Total 153 68,118,519 54,494,815
Table 3
In the "for sale" case, Coventry units ranged between $z6,8oo to $z54~4o0; in the
"for rent" case each unit, at 9S% occupancy, could be worth between $359,694 and $Si8,z74
(See Figure r). Even more with higher occupancy. Overall that is an increase of over 350%
Economics of Coventry Court Revision a 5
from the "for sale" case4. As if that was not enough, Lennar will qualify for special financing
and tax credits for building Coventry Court which makes this "for rent" case even more lu-
crative for Lennar.
Unit Revenue Comparison
^ "For Sale" Revenue per Unit
^ "For Rent" Revenue per Unit
600000
450000
300000
isoooo
Figure i
TRANSFERRING PROFITS AND TAX CONSEQUENCES
As originally designed, as a "for sale" project, each unit of Coventry would be occu-
pied by qualifying individuals and families. Under the covenant defined by the City of Tus-
tin, owners are restricted in selling the homes to a buyer that is at the same income level. In
addition the sales price is capped by the AMI limits for the project. Thus, as the Orange
CountyAMI rises, so will the AMI based sales price cap, which will allow sellers to make a
moderate return on the sale of their home. Contrast this with the "for rent" case where an
increase in the AMI results in more money in the pockets of Lennar/Meta. By approving the
conversion of this project from ownership to rental, the City Council of Tustin will be trans-
ferringprofits that would have been made by homeowners to the corporate pockets of
Lennar/Meta.
4 This is calculated based on the weighted, by unit type and number of units, Boss revenue stream for each case
Economics of Coventry Court Revision z 6
Plan z Low Plan 3 Mod
Furthermore, by approving the Lennar application, the City of Tustin will be surren-
dering property tax that would have been collected from Coventry property owners. Note
that when Coventry homes change owners, those homes would be reassessed and over time
the amount of property tax collected from the project would increase in line with AMI. In
the case of the for rent case, the building will be assessed when it is built and tax increases
will be limited to a% annually. Given that the AMI has been 4% historically, the amount of
tax revenue to the City could be reduced by half or even more.
THE IMPACT TO THE COMMUNITY
Conventional wisdom says, according to Lennar and some City Council members,
that affordable housing does not have an impact on property values. In fact there are nu-
merous studies that would support this view The flaw in this logic occurs because many of
the conclusions of these studies are based on data that are collected in affordable housing
projects that are located in the most disadvantaged and low income neighborhoods in urban
America. City governments will often locate affordable housing projects on undesirable lots
that have older abandoned buildings or are consist of City owned property that has been
taken over due to foreclosure because of unpaid taxes. In these cases, the removal of an eye
sore and replacement with a new building has a positive effect on the surrounding property
values.
Coventry Court in not being built in a disadvantage neighborhood or replacing an
old abandoned building that is an eye sore. Residents have bought property in Columbus
Square with knowledge that Coventry would be built as an affordable housing "for sale" pro-
ject. The impact to homeowners in Columbus Square lies in the fact that affordable rental
projects, even those targeted for elderly tenants, have a negative affect on surrounding prop-
ertyvalues when compared to ownership projects. Following are some highlights from stud-
ies that have researched this question:
z. A study from Penn University, (Lee Culhane, Watcher, Univ of Penn "The Differen-
tial Impacts of Federally Assisted Housing Programs on Nearby Property Values"),
conclude that "...homeownership programs have a more beneficial impact on sur-
rounding neighborhood than any type of rental assistance programs."
z. Lyons and Loveridge, ("An Hedonic Estimation on the effect on Federally Subsidized
Housing on Nearby Residential Property Values, Univ of Minn, i~~3) provide quanti-
fication of the impact. "Adding one subsidized {rental} within a quarter mile of a
Economics of Coventry Court Revision z
house has the same dollar impact as removing half a square foot of it living space."
The same study also concludes that the effect is 3S% more negative in suburban areas
vs. urban areas.
For rental projects that are for the elderly, studies find that the impact is variable
based on the number of units in the project (Ellen, Schill, Schwarts, Voicu, "Does
Federally Subsidized Rental Housing Depress Neighborhood Property Values", New
York Univ Law School, zoos). Smaller elderly targeted projects have a positive im-
pact on the surrounding neighborhood up to i4o units when the impact on neighbor-
ing property values turns negative.
4. Koschinsky, ("Spatial Heterogeneity In Spillover Effects of Assisted and Unassisted
Rental Housing", Journal of Urban Affairs, zoos) concludes that in most cases there
is negligible or positive impact to property values located near affordable rental hous-
ing projects. However, exceptions are cited when affordable rental projects are adja-
cent to affluent areas. In this case, based on data from Seattle Wash. Gold Coast
Area, a decline in values of a% was observed over time.
s. The message is clear that not all affordable rental projects are created equal. Ellen
states, ("Spillovers and Subsidized Housing: The Impact of Subsidized Rental Hous-
ing on Neighborhoods" ,Harvard University, aoo~). "Both theory and existing evi-
dence suggest that neighborhood impact of subsidized, rental housing will differ de-
pending on where it is built, the scale of the development, the characteristics of its
tenants, and the nature of ownership and management."
Additional insight is provided by Ellen (Citation is same as #z), "The greater the
relative difference in value between the subsidized and non-subsidized units the
greater the negative effect of the presence of subsidized units."
SOCIAL IMPACTS OF IIOMEOWNF,RSIIIP
Besides the economic ramifications of granting the change of tenure to Lennar, there
are significant social benefits of homeownership that will be sacrificed. A policy brief from
the U.S. Dept. of Housing and Urban Development identifies fundamental benefits of
homeownership:
r. "Homeownership enables people to have greater control and exercise more responsi-
bility over their living environment."
a. "Homeownership helps stabilize neighborhoods and strengthen communities."
Economics of Coventry Court Revision z 8
3. "Homeownership helps generate jobs and stimulate economic growth."
Studies also find that homeownership has positive affects mental health and directly
impacts a persons self-esteem leading to increased satisfaction in life. (Rhoe, Uan Zandt,
McCarthy, "The Social Benefits and Costs of Homeownership: A Critical Assessment of Re-
search", Harvard University, zooi). In addition homeowners have more invested in the
community and thereby have more reason to be civically active. Ample evidence of this is
seen in the cohesive opposition of Columbus Square homeowners to the change of tenure
application for Coventry.
~OriC1USlOri
The economics of Coventry Court as rental units will clearly benefit Lennar/Meta.
This comes at the expense of the citizens of Tustin. Lennar originally agreed to build and
sell iS3 affordable homes and sell them for $i8.6M. Lennar would now like to rent those
same units and receive $68M ($54.4M gross income) under the veil of helping the commu-
nity. The economic facts are real and are further validated by Lennar's tenacious pursuit of
this application. There are well recognized studies that provide ample evidence that Colum-
bus Square owners will be affected by Coventry becoming a rental project. In addition,
homeownership benefits will be denied to an already disadvantaged segment of the popula-
tion. All because Lennar wants to make even more money in Tustin. We live in America and
making a profit for a corporation is a requirement to survive, however, we should also seek
to insure it is done in a manner that is fair and honest to the people that live in our city. The
City Council needs to remind developers that they have been afforded a privilege to develop
in our community and they are expected to live up to their commitments.
Economics of Coventry Court Revision a ~
Appendix `A"
Plans 1
60 affordable homes
• 35 "Very Low" homes priced at $2.6,600
+ 23 "Low" homes priced aE X65,500 (Tier 1 }
and X88,500 (Tier 27
• 21 "Moderate" homes priced at X187,100
~Tler 1) and X212,500 (Tier 2~
692 5q. ft.
1 bedroom, 1 bath
Plans 2
40 affordable homes
+ 36 "Low" homes priced at X85,700 (Tier 1)
and X111,600 {Tier 2)
• 2'"MOderate" homes priced at 5225,200
(TNer 1~ and X254,400 (T#er 2y
938 sq. ft. 2 bedrooms, 2 baths
938 sq. ft.
2 bedrooms, 2 baths
Plans 3
30 affordable homes
• 30 "Moderate" homes priced at X225,200
(T1er 1) and $254,400 (Tier 2~
993 sq. ft.
2 bedroom, 2 baths
Plans 4
3 affordable homes
3 "Moderate" homes priced at 5225,200
~Tler 1j and X254,400 (Tier 2)
1,064 sq. ft.
2 bedrooms. 2 baths
Economics of Coventry Court Revisf°n 2 10
THE ECONOMICS OF COVENTRY COURT
Making a windfall by breaking a promise.
Albert Hernandez
.`.
July aoto
Economics of Coventry Court
THE ECONOMICS OF COVENTRY
COURT
Making a windfall by breaking a promise
Albert Hernandez
July aoro
The Coventry Gold Mine
We all know that economics is the driving force behind the application that Lennar has
submitted to City ofTustin to convert Coventry Court from ownership tenure to rental
tenure. So I decided to do sharpen my pencil and determine how big the prize would be if
Lennar would actually be able to compel the City Council to approve their application for
change of tenure. My figures are based on facts and figures gathered either from Tustin City
documents, Federal and State government agency documents, or were provided by Lennar
or Meta Housing Corporation. What I discovered is that Coventry is an inflation protected
gold mine that will return money year after year if it converted to a rental project. Approv-
ing this application will allow Lennar to create $68M in revenue from what they agreed they
would sell for $i8M. It is not surprising that Lennar is hiring consultants and making con-
cessions to try to get their application approved. If the application is approved, the list of
injured will include the residents of Coventry, the homeowners in the surrounding commu-
nityand the tax base of the City of Tustin.
THE APPROACH
The economic analysis approach is simple and is based on the examination of cash
flows resulting from the two cases.
r. Case r consists of the examination of cash flows that would be generated by selling
the i53 affordable homes to qualified buyers.
i. Case a provides the examination of cash flows that would result from the rental of
the same rS3 units.
Economics of Coventry Court z
COVENTRY FOR SALE CASE
In both cases the remaining 8~ market rate units of Coventry Court are not consid-
ered in the analysis as Lennar indicates these units are not the drivers for the conversion.
In case z, using published information that was provided when Coventry was a for
sale project, the amount of gross revenue that would be generated from the sale of 153
homes is calculated.
Appendix `A" shows the pricing as well as number of homes in for each of the four
Coventry plans. To determine the gross sales value for the rS3 homes, we multiply the price
of each unit by the number of units in that category. Several of the plans have two prices for
different tiers, for these cases the average price of both tiers is used.
Table r shows the amount of gross revenue that would be generated by selling Coven-
try units as originally planned. This figure is gross revenue which does not account for such
items as such as discounts or incentives. So in actual practice the amount realized would be
less then the i8.8M that is shown here.
"For Sale" Case Cash Flow Generated
1 "Very Low" Homes
1 "Low" Homes
1 "Moderate" Homes
Plan 2 "Low" Homes
Plan 2 "Moderate" Homes
Plan 3 "Moderate" Homes
Plan 4 "Moderate" Homes
Totals
26,800 36 964,800
77,650 23 1,785,950
199,800 21 4,195,800
92,500 38 3,515,000
239,800 2 479,600
239,800 30 7;194,000
239,800 3 719,400
153 18,854,550
Table r
Economics of Coventry Court 3
COVENTRY FOR RENT CASE
The second case we will examine is the case of converting Coventry Court to a rental
project. In this case, Lennar's partner Meta Housing Corporation will rent and manage
Coventry Court units which will produce a stream of cash flow rental payments over a life-
time of 45 years. The amount of rent for each unit is based on the Area Median Income I
(AMI) for the County of Orange, which, incidentally, is among the highest AMIs in the U S.
Based on information from Meta Corporation, rents to be charge for Coventy units
are based on both ~o% AMI and 60% AMI as well as the number of occupants planned for
a unit. An economic advantage to Meta Housing Corporation, because the rents are indexed
to AMI, is that rents will increase as incomes in Orange County increase. A further advan-
tage is that rents go up but don't go down. In the case of a decrease in AMI, rents are to re-
main "stable" as opposed to adjusting downward2.
Indexing rents to AMI provides an effective device to keep up with the pace of infla-
tion. In fact, given how AMI has increased over the last five decades in Orange County,
there is a good chance that the AMI indexed rents will increase faster than inflation3.
Table 3 shows the inflation adjusted present value, based on it cash flow, for each
class of unit. The present value (P~ for each class of unit is calculated in the standard way a
stream of payments is computed for an annuity, using a discount rate of 5% and assuming
Orange CountyAMI will grow at an average rate of 4%. The net discount rate of r% is used
in the calculation. The life of the project is assumed to be 4~ years. We also assume occu-
pancy at 95% although it is not unusual for below market rentals, especially for desirable
luxury apartments, to have occupancy greater than 97%. The total value of the cash gener-
ated from renting Coventry Court as measured in Zoio dollars is estimated at $68.iM. That
is a very substantial increase of over $i8.6M Lennar would receive by keeping Coventry as a
"for sale" project.
I This statistic is calculated by the U S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD).
z Based on information provided by Meta Housing Corporation in a-mail.
3 Besides having among the highest AMI in the U S., the Orange County AMI also grows at a rate that is often higher the
Consumer Price Index (CPI). Over the last go years the average compounded AMI for Orange County has grown at Sss%
while CPI has increased at a rate of q..o~%; over the last 3o years OC compounded AMI is 4.3% and the CPI has increased
at a rate of 3.68%. In either case, since rents will be tied to the AMI they will adjust to compensate for inflation. This is in
an important point, since when we calculate the present value for the stream of rent payments a net discount rate is used
to compensate for inflation. Having the ability to raise rents will reduce the discount rate and thereby increase the present
value of the stream of rents.
Economics of Coventry Court 4
Another way to look it at is that, per year, Coventry will generate nearly $aM in gross
rental revenue just from the affordable units. In less than ten years the amount of revenue
would match what Lennar would generate from selling the Coventry homes. The payback
period for this project will be within the first decade of the project.
"For Rent" Case Cash Flow Generated over project life
1 "Very Low" 871 36 359,694
es
1 "Low" Homes 871 23 359,694
1 "Moderate" 1,045 21 431,551
2 "Low" Homes 1,255 38 518,274 19,694,412
2"Moderate" 1,255 2 518,274 1,036,548
es
3 "Moderate" 1,255 30 518,274 15,548,220
es
4 "Moderate" 1,255 3 518,274 1,554,822
es
153 68,118,519
Table 3
In the "for sale" case, Coventry units ranged between $a6,8oo to $a54~4o0; in the
"for rent" case each unit, at 95% occupancy, could be worth between $359,694 and $Si8,z74
(See Figure r). Even more with higher occupancy. CWerall that is an increase of over 3So%
from the "for sale" case4. As if that was not enough, Lennar will qualify for special financing
and tax credits for building Coventry Court which makes this "for rent" case even more lu-
crative for Lennar.
4 This is calculated based on the weighted, by unit type and number of units, gross revenue stream for each case
Economics of Coventry Court S
Unit Revenue Comparison
^ "For Sale" Revenue per Unit ^ "For Rent" Revenue per Unit
600000
450000
300000
i5oooo
0
Figure i
TRANSFERRING PROFITS AND TAX CONSEQUENCES
As originally designed, as a "for sale" project, each unit of Coventry would be occu-
pied by qualifying individuals and families. Under the covenant defined by the City ofTus-
tin, owners are restricted in selling the homes to a buyer that is at the same income level. In
addition the sales price is capped by the AMI limits for the project. Thus, as the Orange
County AMI rises, so will the AMI based sales price cap, which will allow sellers to make a
moderate return on the sale of their home. Contrast this with the "for rent" case where an
increase in the AMI results in more money in the pockets of Lennar/Meta. By approving the
conversion of this project from ownership to rental, the City Council of Tustin will be trans-
ferring profits that would have been made by homeowners to the corporate pockets of
Lennar/Meta.
Furthermore, by approving the Lennar application, the City of Tustin will be surren-
deringproperty tax that would have been collected from Coventry property owners. Note
that when Coventry homes change owners, those homes would be reassessed and over time
the amount of property tax collected from the project would increase in line with AMI. In
the case of the for rent case, the building will be assessed when it is built and tax increases
Economics of Coventry Court 6
Plan r VL Plan r Low
will be limited to 2% annually. Given that the AMI has been 4% historically, the amount of
tax revenue to the City could be reduced by half or even more.
THE IMPACT TO THE COMMUNITY
Conventional wisdom says, according to Lennar and some City Council members,
that affordable housing does not have an impact on property values. In fact there are nu-
merous studies that would support this view The flaw in this logic occurs because many of
the conclusions of these studies are based on data that are collected in affordable housing
projects that are located in the most disadvantaged and low income neighborhoods in urban
America. City governments will often locate affordable housing projects on undesirable lots
that have older abandoned buildings or are consist of Ciry owned property that has been
taken over due to foreclosure because of unpaid taxes. In these cases, the removal of an eye
sore and replacement with a new building has a positive effect on the surrounding property
values.
Coventry Court in not being built in a disadvantage neighborhood or replacing an
old abandoned building that is an eye sore. Residents have bought property in Columbus
Square with knowledge that Coventry would be built as an affordable housing "for sale" pro-
ject. The impact to homeowners in Columbus Square lies in the fact that affordable rental
projects, even those targeted for elderly tenants, have a negative affect on surrounding prop-
erryvalues when compared to ownership projects. Following are some highlights from stud-
ies that have researched this question:
A study from Penn University, (Lee Culhane, Watcher, Univ of Penn "The Differen-
tial Impacts of Federally Assisted Housing Programs on Nearby Property Values"),
conclude that "...homeownership programs have a more beneficial impact on sur-
rounding neighborhood than any type of rental assistance programs."
z. Lyons and Loveridge, (`An Hedonic Estimation on the effect on Federally Subsidized
Housing on Nearby Residential Property Values, Univ of Minn, 1993) provide quanti-
fication of the impact. `Adding one subsidized {rental} within a quarter mile of a
house has the same dollar impact as removing half a square foot of it living space."
The same study also concludes that the effect is 35% more negative in suburban areas
vs. urban areas.
3. For rental projects that are for the elderly, studies find that the impact is variable
based on the number of units in the project (Ellen, Schill, Schwarts, Voicu, "Does
Economics of Coventry Court ~
Federally Subsidized Rental Housing Depress Neighborhood Property Values", New
York Univ Law School, Zoos). Smaller elderly targeted projects have a positive im-
pact on the surrounding neighborhood up to zoo units when the impact on neighbor-
ingproperty values turns negative.
4. Koschinsky, ("Spatial Heterogeneity In Spillover Effects of Assisted and Unassisted
Rental Housing", Journal of Urban Affairs, Zoo9) concludes that in most cases there
is negligible or positive impact to property values located near affordable rental hous-
ingprojects. However, exceptions are cited when affordable rental projects are adja-
cent to afl~uent areas. In this case, based on data from Seattle Wash. Gold Coast
Area, a decline in values of Z% was observed over time.
s. The message is clear that not all affordable rental projects are created equal. Ellen
states, ("Spillovers and Subsidized Housing: The Impact of Subsidized Rental Hous-
ing on Neighborhoods" ,Harvard University, Zook). "Both theory and existing evi-
dence suggest that neighborhood impact of subsidized, rental housing will differ de-
pending on where it is built, the scale of the development, the characteristics of its
tenants, and the nature of ownership and management."
6. Additional insight is provided by Ellen (Citation is same as #Z), "The greater the
relative difference in value between the subsidized and non-subsidized units the
greater the negative effect of the presence of subsidized units."
SOCIAL IMPACTS OF HOMEOWNERSHIP
Besides the economic ramifications of granting the change of tenure to Lennar, there
are significant social benefits of homeownership that will be sacrificed. A policy brief from
the U S. Dept. of Housing and Urban Development identifies fundamental benefits of
homeownership:
r. "Homeownership enables people to have greater control and exercise more responsi-
bility over their living environment."
Z. "Homeownership helps stabilize neighborhoods and strengthen communities."
3. "Homeownership helps generate jobs and stimulate economic growth."
Studies also find that homeownership has positive affects mental health and directly
impacts a persons self-esteem leading to increased satisfaction in life. (Rhoe, Van Zandt,
McCarthy, "The Social Benefits and Costs of Homeownership: A Critical Assessment of Re-
Economics of Coventry Court 8
search", Harvard University, aooz). In addition homeowners have more invested in the
community and thereby have more reason to be civically active. Ample evidence of this is
seen in the cohesive opposition of Columbus Square homeowners to the change of tenure
application for Coventry.
Conclusion
The economics of Coventry Court as rental units will clearly benefit Lennar/Meta.
This comes at the expense of the citizens of Tustin. Lennar originally agreed to build and
sell i53 affordable homes and sell them for $i8.6M. Lennar would now like to rent those
same units and receive $68M under the veil of helping the community. The economic facts
are real and are further validated by Lennar's tenacious pursuit of this application. There are
well recognized studies that provide ample evidence that Columbus Square owners will be
affected by Coventry becoming a rental project. In addition, homeownership benefits will
be denied to an already disadvantaged segment of the population. All because Lennar wants
to make even more money in Tustin. We live in America and making a profit fora corpora-
tion is a requirement to survive, however, we should also seek to insure it is done in a man-
ner that is fair and honest to the people that live in our city. The Ciry Council needs to re-
mind developers that they have been afforded a privilege to develop in our community and
they are expected to live up to their commitments.
Economics of Coventry Court 9
Appendix `A"
Plans i
80 affordable homes
• 36 "Very low" hames paced at 526,800
• 23 "Law" homes priced at 566,600 (Tier 1}
and 588,500 (Tier 2}
• 21 "Moderate" homes priced at ~ 18 7, i 00
(Tier 1} and #212,500 (Tier 2}
692 5q. ft.
i Dedroomr i bath
Plans 2
4o affordable homes
• 38 "Low" homes priced at 588, 700 (Tier i }
and X111,500 {Tier 2}
• 2 "Moderate" homes paced at 5225,200
(Tier 1} and $.25+3,400 (Tier 2}
938 sq. ft. 2 bedrooms, 2 baths
938 sq. ft.
2 bedrooms, 2 baths
Plans 3
30 affordable hames
• 30 "Moderate" homes priced at 3225,200
(Tier 1}and 5254,400 (Tier 2)
993 sq. ft.
2 bedroom, 2 baths
Plans 4
3 affordable homes
• 3 "Moderate" homes priced at 5225,200
(Tier 1) and #254,100 (Tier 2}
1,064- Sq. ft.
2 bedrooms, 2 baths..
Economics of Coventry Court zo
From: Eric Higuchi [
Sent: Friday, July 02, 2010 11:11 AM
To: carol@govsol.com
Cc: CITY COUNCIL
Subject: Coventry Court -Comments to Proposed Terms for Mutual Benefit Agreement
Dear Ms. McDermott,
My name is Eric Higuchi and I am a resident and homeowner at Columbus Square. I am also actively involved
in the community as an elected board member of the Camden Place HOA and an appointed director-at-large of
the Columbus Square HOA. This message, however, only reflects my personal opinions and should not be
construed in anyway as a statement on behalf of the Camden Place or Columbus Square HOA.
I am writing in regards to a letter from Government Solutions Inc. dated June 28th, 2010 in re: Coventry Court
Senior apartments . Personally, I believe the spirit of the proposed, basic terms are very fair, and,
with involvement and collaboration from the community, would make your client's proposed revisions to
community very supportable.
However, I believe that are absolutely critical questions and comments that must be addressed by the City of
Tustin and Lennar prior to approval of Coventry as a for-rent community. I've attached my comments as a word
document. I have also included my comments as part of this email (see below).
I can be reached at
Sincerely,
Eric Higuchi
1. The Coventry land, if approved by the City as an age-restricted apartment project with "affordable"
units (Coventry), will not be annexed to the Columbus Square Community
Association.
-If this parcel is not annexed into the association, doesn't this "land lock" the parcel? Want the
apartment owner need an access easement from the association in order to traverse across Columbus
Square owned streets? If sa, what are the terms of this easement?
-t dont believe Coventry Court should be approved anti! the community and developer have
memoriafized the terms of this easement.
2. Tustin Coventry Seniors, LLC (Coventry Owner), will not be a member of the Columbus Square
Community Association (Master Association), no assessments shall be levied by the Master Association
against the Coventry property, and votes in the Master Association shall not be exercised by the
Coventry Owner.
-na comment
3. The Coventry Owner will enter into a recorded, perpetual Agreement with the Master Association,
which Agreement shall run with the land pursuant to Section 845 and 1468 of the Civil Code,
containing the following material provisions:
The Coventry Owner will pay to the Master Association an amount equal to one assessment
unit for each rental unit. Assessments for each rental unit will commence upon the first
occupancy of the rental unit and will continue regardless of occupancy thereafter.
-This term is very vague and 1 believe a praposed, detailed agreement must be made available
to the canamunity far comment prior to appraval of Coventry as a for-rent community. l have
the following questions:
At what rate and canditions wilf Coventry°s fees escalate?
• is Coventry subject to special assessments?
• Are fees paid per occupied unit, or will fees be paid for all units at Coventry
regardless of occupancy?
• When are the fee`s effective (when will the Owner of Coventry begin paying fees)?
At Cert of Occupancy? At resident occupancy At building permit?
• Will fee payments be triggered in phases or for the entirety of Coventry at once?
• What recourse does the association have if the awner of Coventry defaults? By
collecting an assessment rather than a fee, the association can na longer foreclose
on the property to recover last income. What mechanisms are proposed to secure
our financial position?
b. The renters may use the Master Association facilities on the same basis as all members of the
Master Association.
-Who will be responsible for distribution of key fobs to Coventry Court residents for access into
the master association peal and club roam facilities?
-Who wi11 have authority to revoke access to the pool and club morn if Caventry Court residents
violate rules?
c. All successors and assigns shall be bound by this Agreement.
-na Ca!?7ment
d. The Coventry Owner/Management will ensure that the Parking Management Plan, approved by
the City of Tustin Community Development department will be enforced and that surrounding
properties will not be negatively impacted by parking behavior of Coventry tenants or guests.
-The Community should have input on the parking management plan. The parking
management plan should be subject to city and community review on an annual basis.
e. The Coventry property will provide 409 parking spaces of which 200 spaces are enclosed
garages, 40 spaces are carports, 130 open parking spaces, 10 ADA accessible parking spaces and
1 ADA van accessible space on-site while it also incorporates 28 parallel street parking spaces
along Cambridge Street and Charleston Street immediately adjacent to the property. Of these
409 parking spaces, 36 shall be set aside as guest spaces, and six (6) spaces shall be set aside for
employees.
-As no easement for parking ar maintenance of these spaces have been discussed, Coventry
cannot count the on-street parking spaces as they are not located within the bounds of
Coventry's parcel. Please revise your parking count to 3Z spaces and your parking ratio to
approx 1,5875.
The Coventry Owner will not permit residents to own and maintain any more than 367 vehicles
on-site at any given time.
-Again, as an easement has not been discussed or proposed, it is not valid to count the 28 on-
street parking spaces. if the 36 guest spaces are to be maintained, the tote! number of
allowable vehicles must drop frcant 367 to 339 spaces, at minimum.
Basic Terms of the proposed Mutual Benefit Agreement between Columbus Square Community
Association and Tustin Coventry Seniors LLC, (Meta Housing Corporation, Owner/Developer of Coventry
Senior Apartments)
Originally distributed March 23, 2010
Updated June 17,2010
1. The Coventry land, if approved by the City as anage-restricted apartment project with
"affordable" units (Coventry), will not be annexed to the Columbus Square Community
Association.
-If this parcel is not annexed into the association, doesn't this "land lack" the parcel? iliton't the
apartment owner need an access easernertt from the association in order to traverse across
Columbus Square owned streets? if so, what are the terms of this easement?
-l don't believe Coventry Cocrrt should be approved until the community and developer have
memorialized the terms of this easement.
2. Tustin Coventry Seniors, LLC (Coventry Owner), will not be a member of the Columbus Square
Community Association (Master Association), no assessments shall be levied by the Master
Association against the Coventry property, and votes in the Master Association shall not be
exercised by the Coventry Owner.
-no comment
3. The Coventry Owner will enter into a recorded, perpetual Agreement with the Master
Association, which Agreement shall run with the land pursuant to Section 845 and 1468 of the
Civil Code, containing the following material provisions:
a. The Coventry Owner will pay to the Master Association an amount equal to one
assessment unit for each rental unit. Assessments for each rental unit will commence
upon the first occupancy of the rental unit and will continue regardless of occupancy
thereafter.
-This term is very vague and 1 believe a proposed, detailed agreement must be made
available to the community for comment prior to approval of Coventry as a for-rent
community. 1 have the fallowing questions:
• At what rate and conditions will Coventry's fees escalate?
• is Coventry subject to special assessments?
« Are fees paid per occupied unit, or will fees be paid for all units at Coventry
regardless of occupancy?
• When are the fee's effective (when will the Qwner of Coventry begin paying
fees)? At Cert of CJccupancy? At resident occupancy? At building permit?
• Will fee payments be triggered in phases or for the entirety of Coventry at
once?
• What recaurse daes the assaciatiori have if the owner of Coventry defaults?
By callecting an assesstrrent rather than a fee, the association can no longer
fareclose on the property to recover lost income. What meehanisms are
proposed to secure our financiai position?
b. The renters may use the Master Association facilities on the same basis as all members
of the Master Association.
-Who will be responsible far distribution of key fobs to Coventry Court residents for
access into the master associatian poal ar~d club room facilities?
-Who will have authority to revoke access to the pool and club roam if Coventry Court
residents violate rules?
c. All successors and assigns shall be bound by this Agreement.
-no comment
d. The Coventry Owner/Management will ensure that the Parking Management Plan,
approved by the City of Tustin Community Development department will be enforced
and that surrounding properties will not be negatively impacted by parking behavior of
Coventry tenants or guests.
-The Community should have input an the parking management plan. The parking
management plan should be subject to city and community review on an annual basis.
e. The Coventry property will provide 409 parking spaces of which 200 spaces are enclosed
garages, 40 spaces are carports, 130 open parking spaces, 10 ADA accessible parking
spaces and 1 ADA van accessible space on-site while it also incorporates 28 parallel
street parking spaces along Cambridge Street and Charleston Street immediately
adjacent to the property. Of these 409 parking spaces, 36 shall be set aside as guest
spaces, and six (6) spaces shall be set aside for employees.
-As no easement far parking ar maintenance of these spaces have been discussed,
Coventry cannot count the 28 ran-street parking spaces as they are not located within
the bounds of Coventry's parcel. Please revise your parking count to 381 spaces and year
parking ratio to approx 2.5875.
-1 suspect this would also require an updated parking study. As this study would be tied
to the CUP approval and not to your environmental approvals, expense would be
minimal and the delay wauld be limited to the time it would take to conduct the study. I
have pushed for an updated study and parking survey for aver half a year. Given the
applicant`s canfidence that the community is in fact aver parked, there seems to be no
risk in conducting a survey to validate the parking retie. Again, the allowable parking
ratio was a special variance from the Tustin Legacy S;pecr`fic Plan granted by the City
Council, that variance had expired with the original CUP. tt would assuage my concerns
greatly if the ratio is confirmed thraugh an updated parking study and detailed survey.
f. The Coventry Owner will not permit residents to own and maintain any more than 367
vehicles on-site at any given time.
-Again, as an easement has net been discussed ar propased, it is net valid to taunt the
28 an-street parking spaces, if the 36 guest spaces are to be maintained, the fatal
number of allowable vehicles must drop from 367 to 339 spaces, at minimum.
Honorable Mayor and City Council Members,
We are writing this letter on behalf of The Board of Directors of the Columbus Square
Community Association. This Board established an Ad Hoc committee to meet with the
Developer and Proposed Operator of Coventry Court as apartments. Because we
believed there was not sufficient time to cover all of the issues prior to the City Council
meeting our Board and Committee asked for a continuance.
The first meeting was held Thursday July I, 2010 between our Committee, Lennar and
Meta Housing. At the beginning of the meeting, our Committee asked Lennar if they had
requested a continuance from the City Council. Lennar said lets ga over some of the
issues first and then we will decide if a continuance is needed.
After a fruitful discussion of the issues, it became obvious to our Committee that more
meeting and discussions would be necessary and asked Lennar to request a continuance. .
The Lennar representative said that there would be no continuance requested and that the
Partners had met earlier this afternoon and voted not to request a continuance. At this
point, the meeting became very contentious and broke up.
Our Board of Directors wants the City Council to know our great disappointrnent in the
actions of Lennar in our efforts to resolve our issues and concerns with Coventry Court
being changed from senior fee simple to senior apartments. The Committee members
believe Lennar acted in bad faith by not disclosing their decision to not request a
continuance at the outset.
We believe a continuance is necessary to resolve issues that were openly discussed at the
July 1, 2010 meeting.
Respectfully:
7
Michael Vo Gary Pomeroy
President Vice President
A Merit Managed Commtmity
iVlerit Property Management, Inc,
1 Polaris Way, Suite IUU, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656
8E)U-428-5588 p 949-448-6U00 f 949-448-64UU
Estrella, Patty
From: Sowder, Debra
Sent: Wednesday, July 07, 2010 2:22 PM
To: Deborah Gavello; Doug Davert; Jerry Amante; Jim Palmer; John Nielsen
Cc: Binsack, Elizabeth; Estrella, Patty
Subject: FW: Denial of Coventry application to become retal property
From: Jack Chen [
Sent: Tuesday, July 06, 2010 11:10 PM
To: CITY COUNCIL
Subject: Denial of Coventry application to become retal property
Dear Counsel Members,
As an active voting member of the community. We ask that at the meeting tomorrow, 07/10/2010 you
do not grant a request for continuance and that you listen to your constituents and the planning
commissions recommendation to deny the permit of Lennar to convert Coventry from Ownership to
Rental. Coventry Court was originally considered as a plan part of the greater Villages of Columbus
which were proposed as 100 percent ownership units and apartments were not considered as part of the
original development plan. Lennar has more than ample time to talk to each and every community
member. The change from ownership to rental tenure is not a minor amendment to the project as Lennar
presented The proposed change causes and affect the well being and our quality of life. We as a
community strongly opposes this development to become a rental unit. It is our belief that Lennar is
trying very hard to stall and delay so that they can wear down the community. Please I urge you to
listen to your constituents, and do not grant a continuance and vote NO tomorrow night and deny the
permit to convert Coventry from ownership to rental.
Respectfully yours,
Jack and Christine Chen
Colombus Square Resident