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City of Tustin
Introduction to Districting
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F Justin Le itt, Vice-President
Sept. 7, 2021 k16 I
National Demographics Corporation
Election Systems
i. "At Large"
2. "From District" or "Residence" Districts
3. `By District"
f he California Voting Rights Act
was written to specifically
encourage by-district elections.
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NDCDrawTustin.ora Sept. 7, zoz1
California VotingRights Act (CVRA
❑ Under the Federal Voting Rights Act (passed in 1965), a jurisdiction must
fail 4 factual tests before it is in violation of the law.
❑ The California VRA makes it significantly easier for plaintiffs to force
jurisdictions into "by-district" election systems by eliminating two of the
US Supreme Court Gingles tests:
❑ Does the protected class vote as a bloc?
❑ Do the voters who are not in the protected class vote in a bloc to defeat the
preferred candidates of the protected class?
❑ Liability is now determined only by the presence of racially polarized voting
NDCDrawTusti n.orq Sept. 7, 2021
CVRA Impact
❑ Switched (or in the process of ❑ Key settlements:
switching) as a result of CVRA: ❑ Palmdale: $4.7 million
❑ At least 240 school districts
❑ Modesto: $3 million
❑ 34 Community College Districts
❑ Highland: $1 .3 million
❑ 154 cities
❑ 1 County Board of Supervisors ❑ Anaheim: $1.1 million
❑ 35 water and other special districts. ❑ Whittier: $1 million
❑ Cases So Far: ❑ Santa Barbara: $600,000
❑ Palmdale, Santa Clara and Santa Monica ❑ Tulare Hospital: $500,000
went to trial on the merits. Palmdale and ❑ Camarillo: $233,000
Santa Clara lost. Santa Monica is awaiting '
a decision. ❑ Compton Unified: $200,000
❑ Modesto and Palmdale each spent about ❑ Madera Unified: about $170,000
$1.8 million on their defense (in addition ❑ Hanford Joint Union Schools:
to the attorney fee awards in those cases).
❑ Santa Monica has spent an estimated $7 $118,000
million so far. Plaintiffs in Santa Monica ❑ Merced City: $42,000
requested $22 million in legal fees after ❑ An estimated $16 million in total
the original trial.
settlements and court awards so far.
Sept.
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NDC
DrawTusti n.orq pt 7, 2021
Districting Process
Step Description
Census Data Release Census Bureau releases official 2020 Census population data.
August 12, 2021
Two Workshops Share information about the process and opportunities for
August 31, 2021 & Date TBA participation.
Two Initial Hearings Held prior to release of draft maps.
Sept. 7 & Date TBA Education and to solicit input on the composition of districts.
As early as the first public hearing, City Council may determine the
number of districts and the format of the mayor.
California Data Release California Statewide Database releases California's official `prisoner-
Early October 2021 adjusted' 2020 redistricting data.
Release draft maps Maps must be posted at least 7 days prior to 3rd hearing.
Two hearings on draft maps Two meetings to discuss and revise the draft maps and to discuss
Dates TBA the election sequence.
Possible map adoption If adopted, map must be approved via ordinance.
By November 1, 2021 (tent.) Final map must be posted at least 7 days prior to adoption.
NDCDrawTusti n.orq Sept. 7, 2021
Redistricting Rules and Goals
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1. Federal Laws 2. California Criteria for 3. Other Traditional
Redistricting Principles
Equal Population 1. Geographically contiguous Minimize voters shifted to
Federal Voting Rights Act different election years
2. Undivided neighborhoods
No Racial Gerrymandering and "communities of I Respect voters' choices /
interest" continuity in office
(Socio-economic geographic areas Future population growth
that should be kept together)
Preserving the core of existing
3. Easily identifiable
districts
boundaries
4. Compact
(Do not bypass one group of
people to get to a more distant
group of people)
1 � 1
- - Prohibited:
T "Shall not favor or discriminate against
a political party."
Pr
NDC DrawTusti n.orq Sept. 7, 2021
Demographic
City of Tustin- Census 2020 (preliminary data)
Summar Category Field Count Pct Category Field Count Pct
Y 2020 Census Pop. 80,276 age0-19 22,298 28%
Hisp 32,712 41% Age age20-60 45,390 57%
Total Pop NH White 22,901 29% age60plus 12,375 15%
NH Black 1,982 2% Immigration immigrants 27,234 34%
Asian-American 20,685 26% naturalized 12,980 48%
Total 48,431 english 35,478 48%
+� Hisp 14,136 29% Language spoken at spanish 23,259 31%
Estimates using Citizen Voting NH White 20,757 43% home asian-lang 11,096 15%
Pop NH Black 1,484 3% other lang 4,525 6%
official 2020Speaks Eng. "Less
Asian/Pac.1sL 11,731 24% Language Fluency 13,043 18%
than Very Well"
demographic data Total 40,200 Education (among hs-grad 18,499 35%
Latino est. 11,363 28% those age 25+) bachelor 15,062 29%
and preliminary Voter Registration Spanish-Sumamed 10,208 25% graduatedegree 7,973 15%
(Nov 2020)
Asian-Sumamed 6,699 17% Child in Household child-underl8 9,862 38%
Census data Filipino-Surnamed 770 2% Pct of Pop. Age 16+ employed 44,597 72%
NH White est. 19,356 48% income 0-25k 2,794 11%
NH Black 1,137 3% income 25-50k 3,944 15%
Total 34,220 Household Income income 50-75k 4,459 17%
Latino est. 8,923 26% income 75-200k 10,893 42%
Voter Turnout Spanish-Sumamed 8,016 23% income 200k-plus 3,711 14%
(Nov 2020) Asian-Sumamed 5,728 17% single family 14,439 51%
Filipino-Sumamed 634 2% multi-family 12,810 45%
NH White est. 17,192 50% Housing Stats rented 13,070 51%
NH Black 959 3% owned 12,730 49%
Total 23,087
Total population data from the 2020 Decennial Census.Surname-based Voter
Latino est. 5,271 23% Registration and Turnout data from the California Statewide Database.Latino voter
Voter TurnoutSpanish-Sumamed4,735 21% reg.and turnout data are Spanish-surname counts adjusted using Census Population
Aslan-Sumamed 3,164 14% Department undercount estimates.NH White and NH Black reg.and turnout counts
(Nov 2018) Filipino-Surnamed 385 2% estimated by NDC.Citizen Voting Age Population,Age,Immigration,and other
NH White est 13,264 57"�o demographics from the 2015-2019 American Community Survey and Special
Tabulation 5-year data
NH Black est. 891 4%
NDCPrawTustin Sept. 7, 2021
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Latino CVAP J
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Latinos are concentrated
in the western part of
the city, particularly
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0% - 10%
10% - 25%
25% - 35%
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35% - 50%
50% - 75%
O2017 CALIPER 75% - 100%
NDCDrawTusti n.orq Sept. 7, 2021
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Asian-American
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Aslan-Americans are
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There are no significant
concentrations of Native 0% - 10%
American or Black/African- 10% - 25%
25% - 35%
American population - 35% - 50
- /
50% - 75%
02017 CALIPER , 7,5% - 100%
NDCDrawTusti n.orq Sept. 7, 2021 •
Apartments / Multi* amily Housi* n
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25%-35%
35%-50%
50%-65%
75%-100%
- �' ®2 17 CALIPER NO Populatlon
NDCDrawTusti n.orq Sept. 'A)
DefiningNeighborhoods
1St Question: What is your neighborhood?
2nd Question: What are its geographic boundaries?
Examples of physical features defining a neighborhood boundary:
❑ Natural neighborhood dividing lines, such as highway or major
roads, rivers, canals and/or hills
❑ Areas around parks or schools
❑ Other neighborhood landmarks
In the absence of public testimony, planning records and other similar
documents may provide definition.
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NDCDrawTusti n.orq Sept. 7, 2021
Beyond Neighborhoods :
Defining Communities of Interest
1St Question: What defines your community?
❑ Geographic Area, plus
❑ Shared issue or characteristic
❑ Shared social or economic interest
❑ Impacted by county policies
❑ Tell us "your community's story"
2nd Question: Would this community benefit from being "included within a
single district for purposes of its effective and fair representation"?
❑ Or would it benefit more from having multiple representatives?
Definitions of Communities of Interest may not include relationships
with political parties, incumbents, or political candidates.
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DrawTusti n.orq Sept. 7, 2021
Beyond Neighborhoodsis Communities
Under the California Elections Code, "community of interest" has a very
specific definition in the context of districting and redistricting cities and
counties:
A "community of interest" is a population that shares common social or
economic interests that should be included within a single district for
purposes of its effective and fair representation.
Communities of interest do not include relationships with political parties,
incumbents, or political candidates.
(emphasis added)
NDCDrawTusti n.orq Sept. 7, 2021
Story Map
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demographic and other9 4 y
Land Use and tonin � M
dataClick below to explore how each LL
parcel in the city is classified by
land use,and zoned.The
❑ Similar to PowerPoint boundaries of the city itself and its 19
subareas remain for reference. a ^n
but interactive In order to find out which land use
and zoning category each color
symbolizes,please click the legend c°°t,.l R°s°
❑ Used to identify button at the bottom left corner. w16
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communities of
City Land Use
interest„ This is meant to describe how each
parcel in the city is actually being
used.The categories are less r +
❑ Sample map from numerous and more general. h e
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This is meant to describe how each
NDCDrawTusti n.orq Sept. 7, 2021
Simple Map Review Tool
Online Interactive Review Map
❑ ESRI's "ArcGIS Online" — similar to Google Maps in ease of use
❑ Used to review, analyze and compare maps, not to create them
❑ Includes overlays of "community of interest" and other data
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Simple Map Drawing Tool
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Discussion
❑ What is your neighborhood and what are its boundaries?
❑ What other notable areas are in the City, and what are their
boundaries?
Discussion on:
❑ "neighborhoods"
❑ "communities of interest"
NDCDrawTusti n.orq Sept. 7, 2021