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Home My WebLink AboutINTRODUCTION TO DISTRICTING NDC 17 FH S National Demographics Corporation .r� F- IsTsT MCFADDEN AV '.�16'-%•Dj Via, City of Tustin Introduction to i Districting Set. 17 2021 Dr. Justin Levitt, Vice-President pO National Demographics Cor oration p Election Systems i. "At Large" 2. "From District" or "Residence" Districts 3. `By District" The California Voting Rights Act was written to specifically encourage by-district elections. NDCDrawTustin.ora Sept. 17, 202� California VotingRights Act (CVRA ❑ Under the Federal Voting Rights Act (passed in 1965), a jurisdiction must fail 4 factual tests before it is in violation of the law. ❑ The California VRA makes it significantly easier for plaintiffs to force jurisdictions into "by-district" election systems by eliminating two of the US Supreme Court Gingles tests: ❑ Does the protected class vote as a bloc? ❑ Do the voters who are not in the protected class vote in a bloc to defeat the preferred candidates of the protected class? ❑ Liability is now determined only by the presence of racially polarized voting fvv� NDCDrawTustin.orq Sept. 17, 2021 CVRA Impact ❑ Switched (or in the process of ❑ Key settlements: switching) as a result of CVRA: ❑ Palmdale: $4.7 million ❑ At least 240 school districts ❑ Modesto: $3 million ❑ 34 Community College Districts ❑ Highland: $1.3 million ❑ 154 cities ❑ 1 County Board of Supervisors ❑ Anaheim: $1.1 million ❑ 35 water and other special districts. ❑ Whittier: $1 million ❑ Cases So Far: ❑ Santa Barbara: $600,000 ❑ Palmdale, Santa Clara and Santa Monica ❑ Tulare Hospital: $500,000 went to trial on the merits. Palmdale and ❑ Camarillo: $233,000 Santa Clara lost. Santa Monica is awaiting a decision. ❑ Compton Unified: $200,000 ❑ Modesto and Palmdale each spent about ❑ Madera Unified: about $170,000 $1.8 million on their defense (in addition ❑ Hanford Joint Union Schools: to the attorney fee awards in those cases). ❑ Santa Monica has spent an estimated $7 $118,000 million so far. Plaintiffs in Santa Monica ❑ Merced City: $42,000 requested $22 million in legal fees after ❑ An estimated $16 million in total the original trial. settlements and court awards so far. NDC ' DrawTustin.org Sept. 17, 2021 DistrictingProcess Step Description Two Workshops Share information about the process and opportunities for August 31 & Sept. 22 participation. Two Initial Hearings Held prior to release of draft maps. Sept. 7 & Sept. 17 Education and to solicit input on the composition of districts. Census Data Release Census Bureau releases official 2020 Census population data. August 12, 2021 California Data Release California Statewide Database releases California's official `prisoner- Early October 2021 adjusted' 2020 redistricting data. First Deadline for Draft Deadline for public to Submit Maps for first publication (for Maps consideration at the Oct. 9 hearing) Sept. 29 by 5 p.m. Release draft maps Maps must be posted at least 7 days prior to hearing. Third Hearing First of two hearings about the draft maps. Oct. 9 Discuss and revise the draft maps and discuss the election r sequence. NDCPrawTustin.ora Sept. 17, 2021 DistrictingProcess (continued Step Description Second Deadline for Draft Deadline for public to Submit Maps for second publication (for Maps consideration at the Oct. 25 hearing) Oct. 14 by 5 p.m. Release draft maps Maps must be posted at least 7 days prior to hearing. Fourth Hearing/Possible Second of two hearings about the draft maps. Map Adoption Discuss and revise the draft maps and discuss the election Oct. 25 sequence. If adopted, map must be approved via ordinance. Final map must be posted at least 7 days prior to adoption. Fifth Hearing/Second Ordinances require two readings, once at introduction and a second Reading of Ordinance at its adoption. Second reading/adoption is at least five days after By November 1, 2021 (tent.) introduction. fvv� NDCDrawTustin.orq Sept. 17, 2021 RedistrictingRules and Goals Wr '09 1. Federal Laws 2. California Criteria for 3. Other Traditional OIL. -Aj Citie Redistricting Principles Equal Population Minimize voters shifted to i. Geographically contiguous Federal Voting Rights Act different election years 2. Undivided neighborhoods No Racial Gerrymandering and "communities of Respect voters' choices / interest" continuity in office (Socio-economic geographic areas Future population growth that should be kept together) Preserving the core of existing 3. Easily identifiable districts boundaries 4. Compact (Do not bypass one group of people to get to a more distant group of people) all Prohibited: "Shall not favor or discriminate against a political party." fvlz� — NDCPrawTustin.org Sept. 17, 2021 0 ofYIustin - Census 2020 reKm ' ary data Demographic Cate or Field Count Pct Category Field Count Pct 2020 Census Pop. 80,276 age0-19 22,298 28% Hisp 32,712 41% Age age20-60 45,390 57% Summar Total Pop NH White 22,901 29% e60 lus 12,375 15% Y NH Black 1 Immigration 982 2% immigrants 27,234 34% Asian-American 20,685 26% naturalized 12,980 48% Total 48,431 english 35,478 48% Hisp 14,136 29% Language spoken at Spanish 23,259 31% Citizen Voting NH White 20,757 43% home asian-lance 11,096 15% Age Pop NH Black 1,484 3% 1 other lang 4,525 6% Asian/Paclsl. 11 731 24% Language Fluency Speaks Eng. "Less 13,043 18% Estimates using than VeryWell" ' official 2020 Total 40,200 _hs-grad 18,499 35% Latino est. 11' °/°363 28Education (among ' those age 25+) badhelor 15,062 29% demographic data I Spanish-Surnamed 10,208 25% graduatedegree 7,973 15% Voter Registration Asian-Surnamed 6,699 1Child 'in Household child-under18 9,862 38% (Nov 2020) Pct of Pop.Age and preliminary Filipino-Surnamed 770 2% 16+ employed 44,597 72% Census data NH White est. 19,356 48% income 0-25k 2,794 11% NH Black 1,137 3% income 25-50k 3,944 15% Total 34,220 Household Income income 50-75k 4,459 17% Latino est. 8,923 26% income 75-200k 10,893 42% With four districts, Voter Turnout Spanish_Sumamed 8,016 23% income 200k-plus 3,711 14% (Nov 2020) Asian-Surnamed 5,728 17% single family 14,439 51% each district would Filipino-Surnamed 634 2% Housing Stats multi-family 12,810 45% NH White est. 17,192 50% rented 13,070 51% need to contain NH Black 959 3% owned 12,730 49% about 20 069 Total 23,087 Total population data from the 2020 Decennial Census.Surname- _Latino est. 5,271 23% based Voter Registration and Turnout data from the California Spanish-Surnamed 4,735 21% Statewide Database.Latino voter reg.and turnout data are Spanish- residents Voter Turnout - surname counts adjusted using Census Population Department 385 2% (NOV 2018) Aslan-Surnamed 3 14°0 undercount estimates.NH White and NH Black reg.and turnout Fill 1n0-Surnamed 385 counts estimated by NDC.Citizen Voting Age Population,Age, NH White est. 13,264 57% Immigration,and other demographics from the 2015-2019 NH Black est. 891 4% American Community Survey and Special Tabulation 5-year data- NDC PrawTusfin Sept. 17, 2021 •lei Latino CVAP 55 JT Pete cahyonRedo _. , F �. :. ti � r Latinos are concentrated in the western part of the city particularly `'�:''" 1tate,,L around I-5 i y a BcGc j � � �',� '�usT n anch Go1Furse Tustinhosp 55 Y �1 0% - 10% 10% - 25% --- _j- 25% - 35% 35% - 50% 50% — 75% 02077 CALIPER 75% - 100% NDCDrawTustin.org Sept. 17, 2021 U '261 Asian-American qi, T Peters Canyon Regiorial, ' CVAP - _ - y...� Asian-Americans are MlEff ■ . concentrated in the south1 ' concentrated ( rvate), ti to Elern Schaoil ! _{ ■ and eastern parts of the city �YeAtuvadkkfPrlvatel _ usWh anch GGolh uTs_- .6 Tusf6 Hosp r i There are no significant g concentrations of Native ' \ 0% - 10% American or Black/African- 10% - 25% • 25% - 35% American population 35% - 50% 50% - 75% 02017 CALIPER ' 7`7% - 10 0 Yo NDCDrawTustin.org Sept. 17, 2021 Apartments / Multi* fami* ly H T Pd ar 17 F�rsYih'RancYanch GalFCourse'�:. 55 v \ MultfFam 0%-25% * 25%-35% ------ - � 35%-50% 65%-75% 75%-100% ®2017 CALIPER NO Population NDCDrawTustin.org Sept. 1A) DefiningNeighborhoods 1s' Question: What is your neighborhood? 2nd Question: What are its geographic boundaries? Examples of physical features defining a neighborhood boundary: ❑ Natural neighborhood dividing lines, such as highway or major roads, rivers, canals and/or hills ❑ Areas around parks or schools ❑ Other neighborhood landmarks In the absence of public testimony, planning records and other similar documents may provide definition. gLiL NDCDrawTustin.orq Sept. 17, 2021 Beyond Neighborhoods : Defining Communities of Interest 1st Question: What defines your community? ❑ Geographic Area, plus ❑ Shared issue or characteristic ❑ Shared social or economic interest ❑ Impacted by county policies ❑ Tell us "your community's story" 2nd Question: Would this community benefit from being "included within a single district for purposes of its effective and fair representation"? ❑ Or would it benefit more from having multiple representatives? Definitions of Communities of Interest may not include relationships with political parties, incumbents, or political candidates. NDCDrawTustin.orq Sept. 17, 2021 Be and Neighborhoods : CommunitiYes Under the California Elections Code, "community of interest" has a very specific definition in the context of districting and redistricting cities and counties: A "community of interest" is a population that shares common social or economic interests that should be included within a single district for purposes of its effective and fair representation. Communities of interest do not include relationships with political parties, incumbents, or political candidates. (emphasis added) fvv� NDCDrawTustin.orq Sept. 17, 2021 Simple Map Review Tool Online Interactive Review Map ❑ ESRI's "ArcGIS Online" — similar to Google Maps in ease of use ❑ Used to review, analyze and compare maps, not to create them ❑ Includes overlays of "community of interest" and other data r. . 0 haldllced) - ' \ Esq -_ 123(single 0.1-1) 724(single Ors1ncl) eho 125IQmgle tl151ncI) 1261only 3 tllslncls] g 127 d°tty _ P4 q HOAbf Otllel ASSOLIatlon Oil PbpllRliS 41 ' J Popunn .J oK t : Popunn ToTotalal PPop Labels ;"Unit Dual LaWls _ Colo a- 1, f +r tiz. Rancho fi5 s to Rlargar to� Leka ban -aLs on Vt I ru _ U V Ldgund Woofs _ ISI�yw / o1Los Angeles County of RA—side.Bu—u of Land IManagemenl E0.HERE.Ga+n INCR NDCDrawTustin.org Sept. 17, 2021 Simple MaDrawingTool City of Tustin Districting 2021 "Draw Your Paper "Public Participation Kit" Community" 17TH ST ❑ For those without internet Map access or who prefer paper r IRVINE-I WD j' ❑ Shows streets and landmarks WIST5T ST'IT A$P �P M(FADDEN AVE �{ L O 9� Draw on the map & G describe your community: V� Fofy cFR '4lF. �YqR N fRAy f Bq 7USTIN RPS Q Municipal Boundaries City of Tustin Parks NDC • L___]TUSD Schools Mile NDrawTustin.org Discussion ❑ What is your neighborhood and what are its boundaries? ❑ What other notable areas are in the City, and what are their boundaries? Discussion on: ❑ "neighborhoods" ❑ "communities of interest" fvv� NDCDrawTustin.orq Sept. 17, 2021